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Tom tat nhanh
- Some worry bitcoin BTC$70,664.89 could still see a deeper sell-off, but one key indicator suggests the bottom may already be behind us.
- That indicator is the 30-day implied volatility, which is an options-based measure of expected price turbulence over four weeks.
- The widely-tracked 30-day implied volatility indices like Deribit's DVOL and Volmex's BVIV surged to 90% in early February when bitcoin crashed to almost $60,000.
- Historically, similar spikes in volatility have coincided with peak panic and capitulation, marking price bottoms.
- Bitcoin's market structure has increasingly mirrored Wall Street since the introduction of spot BTC ETFs in the U.S.
- In this context, implied volatility has emerged as a “fear gauge” and a contrary indicator similar to the VIX, a real-time indicator measuring expected 30-day volatility of the S&P 500: It typically trends downward in stable markets but spikes sharply during moments of extreme fear that mark major market bottoms.
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Nguon tham khao: https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/03/24/bitcoin-volatility-signals-a-bottom-as-tradfi-reels-in-uncertainty