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- Prediction market firms such as Polymarket and Kalshi have a new set of guidelines for U.S.
- operation, with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission laying out initial guidance and a proposed permanent rule Thursday for what the agency called "a proven source of reliable information for news media, sports leagues, financial institutions, and everyday Americans." The agency had once been a legal adversary of the prediction markets, warning that certain betting ran afoul of derivatives laws and that the CFTC couldn't function as a global policy force combating fraud and manipulation in political markets all over the world.
- But under Chairman Mike Selig, the CFTC abandoned its old legal fight and embraced the firms.
- It's now issued a non-binding staff advisory to the prediction market firms regulated by the CFTC as "designated contract markets," and started a binding rule process.
- "This begins the process of new rulemaking grounded in a rational and coherent interpretation of the Commodity Exchange Act, while reassuring the American people that the CFTC will exercise its exclusive jurisdiction over prediction markets," Selig said of the regulatory process which is starting with what's known as an "advanced notice of proposed rulemaking." Selig, who can operate as the sole authority at the regulator because he's the only member of what's meant to be a five-person commission, quickly moved to push the new policy effort.
- He's also been waging a rhetorical campaign against state regulators who claim authority over sports betting, saying his agency is the primary regulator of that space.
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Nguon tham khao: https://www.coindesk.com/policy/2026/03/12/prediction-markets-get-tailored-u-s-guidance-from-former-foe-cftc