Bai viet duoc VNCOIN.NET tom tat nhanh tu nguon quoc te de giup ban nam bat xu huong thi truong nhanh hon.
Tom tat nhanh
- Prediction markets are exciting, but they’re not reliable wealth builders for retail users.
- Research by Citizens shows that retail prediction market users are losing more money than legal sports bettors, with the sharpest traders and market makers capturing returns on the other side of their flow which.
- The research note also reveals the platforms are drawing a younger demographic than traditional sportsbooks.
- The median return for a prediction market user was -8% from July 2025 through mid-March, compared with -5% for sports book users over the same period, Citizens JMP Securities analyst Jordan Bender wrote, citing transaction data from analytics company Juice Reel.
- Individuals trading more than $500,000 on prediction markets generated a median ROI of +2.6%, consistent with sharp-bettor benchmarks validated by professional players.
- Every cohort below that level was negative, sliding to -26.8% for users trading less than $100.
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Nguon tham khao: https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/03/25/retail-traders-fare-worse-on-prediction-markets-than-sportsbooks